The ERADACS project seeks to enhance resilience to agricultural drought by providing seasonal forecasts of soil moisture with quantified uncertainty, to communicate this information in meaningful manner, and to understand how such information might improve decision making at a community level.
It is a novel, multi-disciplinary project that brings together:
The project is led by the University of Reading and carried out in partnership the Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), a leading Ghanaian university; and Evidence for Development (EfD), a well-established NGO.
The impact of agricultural drought on the world's poorest communities can be devastating. Changes in weather patterns due to changing climate can mean that decisions about when to plant and how to manage crops based on experience of weather in recent years are not reliable. Timely forecasts of the developing likelihood of agricultural drought have the potential to have a significant positive impact on the lives of small-scale farmers and their surrounding communities during such events.
The ERADACS project will develop a forecast system for agricultural drought using multiple streams of satellite data, the Met Office land surface model (JULES) and state-of-the-art mathematical techniques (Data Assimilation) to combine these. The resulting forecast will use climatological information from the 30 year TAMSAT data record to predict likely trajectories of rainfall. These seasonal forecasts will be produced across Ghana and made available openly via the TAMSAT website.
Beyond the lifetime of the ERADACS project we will sustain the forecast system via the operational TAMSAT platform. A key aspect of the ERADACS project will be a pilot of how this information might be useful to specific communities in Ghana that are reliant on subsistence farming practices. We will visit and collect socioeconomic information from a number of communities to establish their vulnerability to agricultural drought as well as using serious game play to elicit likely responses.
Our forecasts, and their likely uncertainties, will be discussed with the farmers and we will trial different methods of presenting this data. We will use feedback from these groups to refine the means of communication and to tailor the information produced from the forecast system.
How atmosphere-ocean interactions in the Bay of Bengal affect monsoon rainfall across South Asia.
DREAM aims to determine the drivers of variability in the East Asian hydrological cycle.
This pilot project was set-up with the aim of developing a Learning Framework for GloFAS flood forecast users.
Provides monsoon rainfall data in real time and tracks the key seasonal attributes important to food production.
Investigating the science of extreme event attribution and its relevance for policy in an African context
A new sustainable approach to manage climate risks and increase resilience for smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa
HyCRISTAL is tackling current uncertainties which exist around climate change projections for the East African region.
Find out more about the climate of the past and how climate change can present a number of risks and opportunities.
Consider how the food we grow, buy, eat and throw away relates to the global issue of food security,.
Get an introduction to the weather and climate of the UK and beyond.
How can we adapt farming to an uncertain future? Could the answer be Climate Smart Agriculture?
BRAVE aims to better quantify the impacts of climatic variability and change on groundwater supplies.
TAMSAT provides gauge-calibrated satellite-based rainfall estimates for all of Africa in near real time.
DACCIWA aims to quantify the influence of human-caused and natural emissions on air quality, clouds and rainfall.
People Centered Climate Services in the Sahel seeks to provide technical assistance to improve good quality climate info